Market Comparison

PJM vs ERCOT: Data Center Power

Texas (ERCOT) and PJM (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia) are the two dominant ISO markets for data center power. They differ in queue process, study timelines, capacity market structure, and large-load policy. This comparison uses evidence from both queues, not generic market narratives.

Data sources for this comparison

ERCOT

Source: ercot-queue-public-mirror

Truth class: curated_fact | Source tier: public_mirror_of_official_gis

Data as of: 2026-04-02 | Rows: 1,846

PJM

Source: pjm-interconnection-queue

Truth class: direct_fact | Source tier: official_public_export

Data as of: 2026-04-25 | Rows: 9,251

Queue evidence freshness

Texas (ERCOT): source freshness and process posture

Public summary from the queue evidence bridge. Full row-level evidence, exports, and decision memos stay inside the paid pack/watchlist flow.

Data freshness

Stale (45d old, as of Apr 2, 2026)

Data as of: Apr 2, 2026

Coverage

1,846 rows

1,846 timing signals · 0 change events

Confidence: Medium

Latest-change teaser

ERCOT Spot Price rose 16.8% in ERCOT Houston. ERCOT Houston hub spot prices increased 16.8% week-over-week due to higher demand and lower wind output.

Last change date: Feb 24, 2026

Source contract

ERCOT public mirror of official GIS queue data

Source slug: ercot-queue-public-mirror

Truth class: Curated Fact

Source tier: Public Mirror Of Official Gis

Limitation language

ERCOT queue evidence uses a secondary public mirror of official ERCOT GIS data. Use it as screening-grade decision support only; it does not guarantee parcel-level MW, utility-certified serviceability, interconnection timing, permitting outcomes, or power availability.

Need the row-level evidence?

The paid pack/watchlist includes shortlist rows, source appendix, exports, and decision-memo fields.

Get the Texas Time-to-Power Pack

Queue evidence freshness

Ohio / PJM: source freshness and process posture

Public summary from the queue evidence bridge. Full row-level evidence, exports, and decision memos stay inside the paid pack/watchlist flow.

Data freshness

Aging (22d old, as of Apr 25, 2026)

Data as of: Apr 25, 2026

Coverage

9,251 rows

9,251 timing signals · 0 change events

Confidence: High

Latest-change teaser

PJM Capacity Price declined 5.7% in PJM Western. PJM Western hub capacity prices declined 5.7% as new generation came online.

Last change date: Feb 24, 2026

Source contract

PJM Planning API interconnection queue export

Source slug: pjm-interconnection-queue

Truth class: Direct Fact

Source tier: Official Public Export

Limitation language

PJM queue evidence comes from the official public Planning API export. Use it as screening-grade decision support only; it does not guarantee parcel-level MW, utility-certified serviceability, interconnection timing, permitting outcomes, or power availability.

Need the row-level evidence?

The paid pack/watchlist includes shortlist rows, source appendix, exports, and decision-memo fields.

Get the Ohio/PJM Time-to-Power Pack

Comparison dimensions

Queue depth

ERCOT

1,846 entries (public mirror)

PJM

9,251 entries (official export)

PJM has a larger total queue, but not all entries are large-load or data-center-related.

Study process

ERCOT

Connect-and-manage historically; recent reforms adding structure

PJM

Structured three-phase study (feasibility, system impact, facilities)

PJM offers more predictable timelines; ERCOT historically offered faster but less predictable paths.

Source quality

ERCOT

Curated fact (public mirror of official GIS)

PJM

Direct fact (official public export via Planning API)

PJM data is direct official; ERCOT uses a curated public mirror until direct MIS ingestion is operational.

Large-load policy

ERCOT

Evolving — new large-load study requirements and process changes

PJM

Established — queue reform has defined study timeline expectations

Both ISOs are adapting to unprecedented data center demand.

Transmission dependency

ERCOT

Varies by zone — Far West and West zones more transmission-constrained

PJM

Varies by zone — Virginia/Maryland corridor historically congested

Transmission-led dependencies are the single largest energization risk in both markets.

Capacity market

ERCOT

Energy-only market — no capacity payments

PJM

Capacity market with resource adequacy requirements

PJM capacity market affects economics and generator behavior but does not directly determine interconnection timeline.

Limitations of this comparison

  • Queue depth comparison is not apples-to-apples — project types and categorization differ between ISOs.
  • ERCOT data uses a public mirror (curated fact), while PJM data is direct official. Confidence levels differ.
  • Neither queue position nor study phase guarantees energization timing.
  • This comparison covers ISO-level market factors. Sub-market and county-level comparisons require the Time-to-Power Pack.
  • Screening-grade comparison. Does not replace detailed market-specific engineering or financial analysis.

Deep-dive into each market

Speed-to-Power Watchlist

Track queue changes in both ERCOT and PJM — study completions, withdrawals, and status shifts.

Related

Open Readiness Map