2025 Strategic Intelligence Report

2025 AI Infrastructure: State of the Market

Market Dislocation, Grid Failure, and the Architecture of the $1 Trillion Buildout.

The Depreciation Cliff

Why 40% of H100 loans will be underwater by 2026 due to the 18-month hardware half-life.

Grid Bottlenecks

The "Interconnection Mirage" in PJM and ERCOT. Why "Site Control" is meaningless without power.

Sovereign Compute

How private credit and nation-states are verticalizing the stack to bypass utility queues.

1. The Pricing Vacuum

The market for NVIDIA H100 GPUs displays extreme price dispersion, with rates varying by 640% ($1.49/hr to $13.00/hr). Generic reports fail to capture this "Legacy Premium".

2. The Power Crisis

PJM Capacity Auction Failure: Prices spiked 833% to $269.92/MW-day for the 2025/2026 delivery year.
ERCOT Queue Explosion: Requests hit 205 GW, forcing a "Batch Process" that leaves many sites in limbo.

3. The Yield Trap

While 95% of investors plan to increase allocation, rising power costs are eroding NOI. Data centers are now quasi-industrial power plants, not just real estate assets.

Strategic Playbooks Included

Landowner & Site AggregatorPrivate Credit UnderwriterEdge Developer

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